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HVACR Trends

HVACR Trends

Information to Inspire, Grow and Profit

Industry Outlook

HVAC Rebate Strategy: New Research

December 30, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

HVAC Rebate Strategy

New Research: Rebates as a Strategic Growth Tool in a Shifting Market In the HVAC industry, rebates are often treated as “backside dollars,” a necessary but largely passive part of the business.  New research reframes HVAC rebate strategy as something far more consequential.  When managed deliberately, rebates are no longer just an accounting exercise.  They are a primary … [Read more...] about HVAC Rebate Strategy: New Research

How Far Off “Typical” Are Your Processes? And What Is It Costing You?

November 6, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Infor processes at Velocity Days event

Last week I had the opportunity the Infor Velocity Days event held in Orlando. Overall, I was very impressed with the quality of the information presented and the knowledge that the guest speakers brought to the table.  Two sessions that really resonated with me dealt with the question How far off of typical are your processes, and The Hidden Cost of Customizing Your ERP … [Read more...] about How Far Off “Typical” Are Your Processes? And What Is It Costing You?

Midyear Course Correction: “Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth”

October 23, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

midyear planning for hvacr distributors is like two sailboats cutting through choppy blue water under a dramatic, cloud-filled sky, leaving zigzag wakes behind them — symbolizing adaptability and steady navigation through changing conditions.

TL; DR: To paraphrase the inestimable words of “Iron” Mike Tyson, plans rarely survive contact with the market.  Like a sailboat tacking into the wind, the best distributors keep course-correcting until they reach their goal. The best distributors do not throw them out when things change.  They adapt.  Midyear reviews turn assumptions into action by checking what the market … [Read more...] about Midyear Course Correction: “Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth”

Mingledorff’s Caffeine and Coils Podcast: How an 86-Year-Old Brand Stays Fresh

October 22, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Jenny Brown and Deanna Lassiter recording an episode of Caffeine & Coils, Mingledorff’s internal and customer-facing podcast.

Jenny Brown and Deanna Lassiter explain how Mingledorff's Caffeine and Coils became both a creative outlet and a living symbol of their transparency, innovation, and people-first culture. By Chuck Labow | HVACRtrends.com When Mingledorff's Caffeine and Coils first launched, it wasn’t just another company podcast—it was a natural continuation of something Mingledorff’s had … [Read more...] about Mingledorff’s Caffeine and Coils Podcast: How an 86-Year-Old Brand Stays Fresh

William Blair HVAC Survey 2025: Demand Cools, Repair Rises

October 21, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Line chart showing William Blair HVAC Index and organic sales growth for Watsco, Lennox, and AAON, highlighting a 3% industry decline in Q3 2025.

The third quarter of 2025 has been a rough ride for the HVAC industry. According to the William Blair's 2025 HVAC Survey, distributors and manufacturers reported softening demand, persistent sticker shock, and an unusually cool summer—all combining to create what the firm called a “rough out there” environment. The William Blair HVAC Index fell 3% year over year, one of the … [Read more...] about William Blair HVAC Survey 2025: Demand Cools, Repair Rises

What Happens When the Market Moves: Scenario Planning for HVACR Distributors

October 9, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Photorealistic image showing a man’s torso from chest to hips, gripping a wooden dowel with both hands and bending it to illustrate the concept of strength through flexibility — “bend, don’t break.”

TL;DR: Most leading forecasts point to slower growth or a mild recession in 2026.  Scenario planning gives HVACR distributors a way to prepare for that reality.  The goal is not to predict the downturn’s depth, but to be ready for it.  Good plans bend before they break. Economic Outlook for 2026 Forecasts from the IMF, Deloitte, OECD, and the University of Michigan … [Read more...] about What Happens When the Market Moves: Scenario Planning for HVACR Distributors

2026 HVACR Planning Season – Contractor Loyalty Programs are worth considering

October 1, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

As you go into planning season, and you are looking for programs in 2026 that can help you grow business in 2026. A Contractor loyalty program has to be one of the areas, I would look at as a distributor leader. I was fortunate to be involved and help lead 9 contractor loyalty programs as a distributor, and each and every time they delivered above market growth numbers. So, … [Read more...] about 2026 HVACR Planning Season – Contractor Loyalty Programs are worth considering

AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

September 11, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

Distributors are hearing more about AI every day, but much of the conversation stays broad and abstract. This article looks at something more practical: how AI agents are already being used in distribution to handle routine tasks, free up people, and improve the customer experience.  Recently, I had the chance to speak with Mohamed Ben Aribia, founder of Helixia, and watch … [Read more...] about AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

Market Share Math: How Distributors Can Sharpen 2026 Planning

September 11, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Market share is the most cited, least understood metric for most HVAC distributors.  With economic uncertainty hanging over 2026, sharper distribution planning is essential.  Here is how to ground your growth targets in reality and avoid the blind spots competitors may be leaving wide open.  Why Market Share Matters in 2026  This article kicks off a series we will be … [Read more...] about Market Share Math: How Distributors Can Sharpen 2026 Planning

Learning from the Front Lines: Insights from Auer Steel’s BrewCast Series

August 26, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Chucks test

At HVACR trends we have been following innovative channel leaders like Auer Steel and Heating Supply and their excellent outreach programs for the past year. Contractors know that the business is about more than equipment. Success depends on how well you engage homeowners, develop talent, and prepare your team for what is coming next. This fall, Auer Steel is curating … [Read more...] about Learning from the Front Lines: Insights from Auer Steel’s BrewCast Series

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Helios Bets on AI Diagnostics with Nationwide Bluon Rollout

HVACR components including line sets, brass fittings, line set covers, and accessories arranged together on a distributor counter, representing cooperative supplier networks

Cooperative Supplier Networks: The Future of HVACR Sourcing

Diagonal graphic showing the Watsco and Lennox logos representing HVAC market comparison

HVAC Market Slowdown Signals a Prolonged Industry Reset

New York HVAC refrigerant rules

New York HVAC Refrigerant Rules Are Triggering Supply Chain Alarm

A practical look at branch leadership execution, frontline management, and why disciplined branch leadership still wins in distribution.

The AI-Enabled Distributor: From Pilot to Profit

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