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HVACR Trends

HVACR Trends

Information to Inspire, Grow and Profit

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WATSCO

Watsco Q4 Earnings Miss Masks a Bigger Story

February 18, 2026 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Watsco Q4 2025 earnings showing record gross margins and technology platform investments alongside volume declines in HVAC distribution

Watsco Q4 earnings tell two stories, and neither one cancels the other out. On the surface, Watsco Q4 earnings paint a rough picture. Revenue fell 10%.  HVAC equipment sales dropped 13%.  Earnings per share declined 29%.  When you back out the 11% domestic pricing increase, implied equipment volumes were down more than 20%.  That is not a soft patch. But Watsco's own framing … [Read more...] about Watsco Q4 Earnings Miss Masks a Bigger Story

HVAC Market Slowdown Signals a Prolonged Industry Reset

January 15, 2026 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Diagonal graphic showing the Watsco and Lennox logos representing HVAC market comparison

The HVAC market slowdown is no longer a matter of debate or selective interpretation.  Fourth-quarter performance came in worse than already lowered expectations, pricing pressure is beginning to surface in markets that historically hold firm, and inventory normalization remains unfinished.  This isn't a collapse scenario, but it is a clear signal that the industry reset is … [Read more...] about HVAC Market Slowdown Signals a Prolonged Industry Reset

Watsco’s Q3 2025 Results: Better Than Feared, but Not Out of the Woods Yet

November 13, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Watsco logo representing Watsco Q3 2025 results article on HVACR Trends

Watsco’s Q3 2025 results offered a sigh of relief for HVAC distributors and manufacturers watching the A2L refrigerant transition unfold.  Earnings per share of $3.98 missed Wall Street consensus by about 6 percent but came in ahead of buy-side expectations.  That mix of mild disappointment and cautious optimism perfectly sums up where the HVAC channel sits today: weathering … [Read more...] about Watsco’s Q3 2025 Results: Better Than Feared, but Not Out of the Woods Yet

Mingledorff’s Caffeine and Coils Podcast: How an 86-Year-Old Brand Stays Fresh

October 22, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Jenny Brown and Deanna Lassiter recording an episode of Caffeine & Coils, Mingledorff’s internal and customer-facing podcast.

Jenny Brown and Deanna Lassiter explain how Mingledorff's Caffeine and Coils became both a creative outlet and a living symbol of their transparency, innovation, and people-first culture. By Chuck Labow | HVACRtrends.com When Mingledorff's Caffeine and Coils first launched, it wasn’t just another company podcast—it was a natural continuation of something Mingledorff’s had … [Read more...] about Mingledorff’s Caffeine and Coils Podcast: How an 86-Year-Old Brand Stays Fresh

William Blair HVAC Survey 2025: Demand Cools, Repair Rises

October 21, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Line chart showing William Blair HVAC Index and organic sales growth for Watsco, Lennox, and AAON, highlighting a 3% industry decline in Q3 2025.

The third quarter of 2025 has been a rough ride for the HVAC industry. According to the William Blair's 2025 HVAC Survey, distributors and manufacturers reported softening demand, persistent sticker shock, and an unusually cool summer—all combining to create what the firm called a “rough out there” environment. The William Blair HVAC Index fell 3% year over year, one of the … [Read more...] about William Blair HVAC Survey 2025: Demand Cools, Repair Rises

WATSCO 2025 Investor Day highlights key growth programs

June 25, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

Watsco

In the world of distribution (especially in the HVACR Channel) most private companies do not report results, and many public companies do not release the detailed strategic initiatives that have more depth than what is provided in the 10K. WATSCO once a year does release more details that time to strategic initiatives and I eagerly await the annual WATSCO investor conference … [Read more...] about WATSCO 2025 Investor Day highlights key growth programs

Carrier Investor Day shows continued growth built off a strong business base

June 3, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

Carrier Strategic Direction

Carrier's Investor Day, May 19, 2025 provided a deep dive into the HVACR leading manufacturer strategy and results that were enlightening. Often in these high-level investor day presentations, you have to read between the lines. As our HVACR trends are overwhelmingly based in North America, I concentrated on the presentation given by Gaurang Pandya - President - Climate … [Read more...] about Carrier Investor Day shows continued growth built off a strong business base

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HVACR distributor HR team reviewing AI workforce management tools on a laptop

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HVAC technician working on commercial rooftop unit representing the growing technician shortage

The HVAC Technician Shortage: What 2031 Could Look

Supreme Court IEEPA tariff ruling impact on HVAC equipment pricing and the distribution channel

HVAC Tariff Costs: What the Supreme Court Ruling Really Changes

Manufacturers - Why You?

Manufacturers – Why You?

nVent Q4 2025 earnings results showing portfolio transformation toward data center and infrastructure growth

nVent Earnings Reveal a Company the Channel Barely Recognizes | HVACR Trends

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