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HVACR Trends

HVACR Trends

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Distribution Strategy

Mingledorff’s Caffeine and Coils Podcast: How an 86-Year-Old Brand Stays Fresh

October 22, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Jenny Brown and Deanna Lassiter recording an episode of Caffeine & Coils, Mingledorff’s internal and customer-facing podcast.

Jenny Brown and Deanna Lassiter explain how Mingledorff's Caffeine and Coils became both a creative outlet and a living symbol of their transparency, innovation, and people-first culture. By Chuck Labow | HVACRtrends.com When Mingledorff's Caffeine and Coils first launched, it wasn’t just another company podcast—it was a natural continuation of something Mingledorff’s had … [Read more...] about Mingledorff’s Caffeine and Coils Podcast: How an 86-Year-Old Brand Stays Fresh

William Blair HVAC Survey 2025: Demand Cools, Repair Rises

October 21, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Line chart showing William Blair HVAC Index and organic sales growth for Watsco, Lennox, and AAON, highlighting a 3% industry decline in Q3 2025.

The third quarter of 2025 has been a rough ride for the HVAC industry. According to the William Blair's 2025 HVAC Survey, distributors and manufacturers reported softening demand, persistent sticker shock, and an unusually cool summer—all combining to create what the firm called a “rough out there” environment. The William Blair HVAC Index fell 3% year over year, one of the … [Read more...] about William Blair HVAC Survey 2025: Demand Cools, Repair Rises

What Happens When the Market Moves: Scenario Planning for HVACR Distributors

October 9, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Photorealistic image showing a man’s torso from chest to hips, gripping a wooden dowel with both hands and bending it to illustrate the concept of strength through flexibility — “bend, don’t break.”

TL;DR: Most leading forecasts point to slower growth or a mild recession in 2026.  Scenario planning gives HVACR distributors a way to prepare for that reality.  The goal is not to predict the downturn’s depth, but to be ready for it.  Good plans bend before they break. Economic Outlook for 2026 Forecasts from the IMF, Deloitte, OECD, and the University of Michigan … [Read more...] about What Happens When the Market Moves: Scenario Planning for HVACR Distributors

Danfoss acquires Palladio Compressors

October 2, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Danfoss expands compressor portfolio with Palladio screw compressor acquisition

Danfoss’ announced their acquisition of Palladio Compressors today.  This would seem to signal more than portfolio expansion—it plugs a real gap in the HVAC/R market. By bringing non-captive screw technology under its roof, Danfoss adds supply to a segment where options have been limited, while positioning itself to accelerate adoption of natural and low-GWP refrigerants. The … [Read more...] about Danfoss acquires Palladio Compressors

2026 HVACR Planning Season – Contractor Loyalty Programs are worth considering

October 1, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

As you go into planning season, and you are looking for programs in 2026 that can help you grow business in 2026. A Contractor loyalty program has to be one of the areas, I would look at as a distributor leader. I was fortunate to be involved and help lead 9 contractor loyalty programs as a distributor, and each and every time they delivered above market growth numbers. So, … [Read more...] about 2026 HVACR Planning Season – Contractor Loyalty Programs are worth considering

EPA Floats Refrigerant Rule Rollback: Five Years of Breathing Room or Just More Confusion?

October 1, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

EPA refrigerant rule rollback graphic showing proposed changes for HVACR, refrigeration, and semiconductor sectors.

The EPA has proposed a major revision to the Biden-era refrigerant transition rules, offering relief to contractors, distributors, and manufacturers who’ve been bracing for 2025 compliance deadlines. The move could push back enforcement in key sectors, giving the industry as much as five years to adapt — but it also raises new questions. When the 2023 Technology Transitions … [Read more...] about EPA Floats Refrigerant Rule Rollback: Five Years of Breathing Room or Just More Confusion?

Show Me the Value: Why HR Needs Receipts

September 30, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Conceptual illustration of HR shifting from talk to proof, highlighting measurable business outcomes such as cost savings, revenue growth, and employee retention.

HR often sits in a strange space inside organizations.  Employees are wary because they see HR as working for management, not for them.  Leadership, meanwhile, gets frustrated when HR leaders say they want to be “strategic” but then spend their time bogged down in the tactical weeds. Over the years, I have worked closely with HR leaders in different contexts.  Too often, I … [Read more...] about Show Me the Value: Why HR Needs Receipts

Sizing the Market: TAM, SAM, and SOM for HVACR Distributor Planning 2026

September 24, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

TAM SAM SOM funnel showing Total Addressable Market, Serviceable Available Market, and Serviceable Obtainable Market for HVACR distributors 2026.

Market share math only works if you define the market you are measuring against.  TAM, SAM, and SOM are the three lenses that turn gut feel into something you can plan with.  For HVACR distributors, iffy-definitions create false signals that can derail planning.  This article breaks down how HVACR distributors calculate market share using TAM, SAM, and SOM. Market share … [Read more...] about Sizing the Market: TAM, SAM, and SOM for HVACR Distributor Planning 2026

AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

September 11, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

Distributors are hearing more about AI every day, but much of the conversation stays broad and abstract. This article looks at something more practical: how AI agents are already being used in distribution to handle routine tasks, free up people, and improve the customer experience.  Recently, I had the chance to speak with Mohamed Ben Aribia, founder of Helixia, and watch … [Read more...] about AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

Market Share Math: How Distributors Can Sharpen 2026 Planning

September 11, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Market share is the most cited, least understood metric for most HVAC distributors.  With economic uncertainty hanging over 2026, sharper distribution planning is essential.  Here is how to ground your growth targets in reality and avoid the blind spots competitors may be leaving wide open.  Why Market Share Matters in 2026  This article kicks off a series we will be … [Read more...] about Market Share Math: How Distributors Can Sharpen 2026 Planning

New Product Introductions – Why they Fail

September 4, 2025 by David Gordon Leave a Comment

Manufacturer New Product Introductions Challenge

Recently we did a project for a manufacturer to help them prepare for a sales meeting. They wanted to understand what their staff was thinking but they wanted a 3rd party to gather the insights to ensure their team that there would be anonymity. They questions related to how the “go to market team” (Sales, Marketing, Product Development / Engineering, Customer Service) … [Read more...] about New Product Introductions – Why they Fail

Learning from the Front Lines: Insights from Auer Steel’s BrewCast Series

August 26, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Chucks test

At HVACR trends we have been following innovative channel leaders like Auer Steel and Heating Supply and their excellent outreach programs for the past year. Contractors know that the business is about more than equipment. Success depends on how well you engage homeowners, develop talent, and prepare your team for what is coming next. This fall, Auer Steel is curating … [Read more...] about Learning from the Front Lines: Insights from Auer Steel’s BrewCast Series

Volcanoes make noise. Glaciers shape markets: Bosch in HVAC

August 26, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Bosch Acquistion

Volcanoes erupt. They grab attention, change landscapes overnight, and leave everyone scrambling to adapt. Glaciers, by contrast, move almost imperceptibly. Yet over time they carve valleys, redirect rivers, and permanently reshape the terrain.  Bosch has chosen to act like a glacier in the U.S. HVAC market. Their recent $8 billion acquisition of Johnson Controls–Hitachi’s … [Read more...] about Volcanoes make noise. Glaciers shape markets: Bosch in HVAC

Engineering Better Sales: HVAC’s Moneyball Moment

August 20, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Engineering better HVAC Sales

Most HVACR companies spend a lot of time on products, pricing, and promos. But sales execution? That often gets overlooked. If you’re still managing sales by gut feel and muscle memory, you’re leaving margin on the table. It’s time to take a Moneyball approach.  In Moneyball, the Oakland A’s figure out how to win by asking better questions and using better data. They stopped … [Read more...] about Engineering Better Sales: HVAC’s Moneyball Moment

Creating more time for your inside teams to service customers

August 13, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

order management

This week we’ve been on calls with key distributors and working on our latest benchmark research about how automated order management is creating “barriers to exit” for customers. We are preparing this full report for a webinar and white paper in partnership with our friends at Conexiom.  I’m excited to be co-presenting this webinar and crafting the white paper research … [Read more...] about Creating more time for your inside teams to service customers

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HVAC technician working on commercial rooftop unit representing the growing technician shortage

The HVAC Technician Shortage: What 2031 Could Look

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HVAC Tariff Costs: What the Supreme Court Ruling Really Changes

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Watsco Q4 Earnings Miss Masks a Bigger Story

Manufacturers - Why You?

Manufacturers – Why You?

nVent Q4 2025 earnings results showing portfolio transformation toward data center and infrastructure growth

nVent Earnings Reveal a Company the Channel Barely Recognizes | HVACR Trends

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