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HVACR Trends

HVACR Trends

Information to Inspire, Grow and Profit

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Sales & Marketing

Manufacturers – Why You?

February 16, 2026 by David Gordon Leave a Comment

Manufacturers - Why You?

For manufacturers, getting your message through the channel, let alone to end-users, can be a challenge. Most are conditioned (could be trained, sometimes it’s historical repetition) to promote features and benefits. And it is always the latest products (which is interesting given that, while they track NPI … the percentage of business driven by new product introductions … … [Read more...] about Manufacturers – Why You?

Midyear Course Correction: “Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth”

October 23, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

midyear planning for hvacr distributors is like two sailboats cutting through choppy blue water under a dramatic, cloud-filled sky, leaving zigzag wakes behind them — symbolizing adaptability and steady navigation through changing conditions.

TL; DR: To paraphrase the inestimable words of “Iron” Mike Tyson, plans rarely survive contact with the market.  Like a sailboat tacking into the wind, the best distributors keep course-correcting until they reach their goal. The best distributors do not throw them out when things change.  They adapt.  Midyear reviews turn assumptions into action by checking what the market … [Read more...] about Midyear Course Correction: “Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth”

Mingledorff’s Caffeine and Coils Podcast: How an 86-Year-Old Brand Stays Fresh

October 22, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Jenny Brown and Deanna Lassiter recording an episode of Caffeine & Coils, Mingledorff’s internal and customer-facing podcast.

Jenny Brown and Deanna Lassiter explain how Mingledorff's Caffeine and Coils became both a creative outlet and a living symbol of their transparency, innovation, and people-first culture. By Chuck Labow | HVACRtrends.com When Mingledorff's Caffeine and Coils first launched, it wasn’t just another company podcast—it was a natural continuation of something Mingledorff’s had … [Read more...] about Mingledorff’s Caffeine and Coils Podcast: How an 86-Year-Old Brand Stays Fresh

William Blair HVAC Survey 2025: Demand Cools, Repair Rises

October 21, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Line chart showing William Blair HVAC Index and organic sales growth for Watsco, Lennox, and AAON, highlighting a 3% industry decline in Q3 2025.

The third quarter of 2025 has been a rough ride for the HVAC industry. According to the William Blair's 2025 HVAC Survey, distributors and manufacturers reported softening demand, persistent sticker shock, and an unusually cool summer—all combining to create what the firm called a “rough out there” environment. The William Blair HVAC Index fell 3% year over year, one of the … [Read more...] about William Blair HVAC Survey 2025: Demand Cools, Repair Rises

What Happens When the Market Moves: Scenario Planning for HVACR Distributors

October 9, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Photorealistic image showing a man’s torso from chest to hips, gripping a wooden dowel with both hands and bending it to illustrate the concept of strength through flexibility — “bend, don’t break.”

TL;DR: Most leading forecasts point to slower growth or a mild recession in 2026.  Scenario planning gives HVACR distributors a way to prepare for that reality.  The goal is not to predict the downturn’s depth, but to be ready for it.  Good plans bend before they break. Economic Outlook for 2026 Forecasts from the IMF, Deloitte, OECD, and the University of Michigan … [Read more...] about What Happens When the Market Moves: Scenario Planning for HVACR Distributors

2026 HVACR Planning Season – Contractor Loyalty Programs are worth considering

October 1, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

As you go into planning season, and you are looking for programs in 2026 that can help you grow business in 2026. A Contractor loyalty program has to be one of the areas, I would look at as a distributor leader. I was fortunate to be involved and help lead 9 contractor loyalty programs as a distributor, and each and every time they delivered above market growth numbers. So, … [Read more...] about 2026 HVACR Planning Season – Contractor Loyalty Programs are worth considering

Sizing the Market: TAM, SAM, and SOM for HVACR Distributor Planning 2026

September 24, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

TAM SAM SOM funnel showing Total Addressable Market, Serviceable Available Market, and Serviceable Obtainable Market for HVACR distributors 2026.

Market share math only works if you define the market you are measuring against.  TAM, SAM, and SOM are the three lenses that turn gut feel into something you can plan with.  For HVACR distributors, iffy-definitions create false signals that can derail planning.  This article breaks down how HVACR distributors calculate market share using TAM, SAM, and SOM. Market share … [Read more...] about Sizing the Market: TAM, SAM, and SOM for HVACR Distributor Planning 2026

AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

September 11, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

Distributors are hearing more about AI every day, but much of the conversation stays broad and abstract. This article looks at something more practical: how AI agents are already being used in distribution to handle routine tasks, free up people, and improve the customer experience.  Recently, I had the chance to speak with Mohamed Ben Aribia, founder of Helixia, and watch … [Read more...] about AI Agents in Distribution: From Hype to Practical Impact

Market Share Math: How Distributors Can Sharpen 2026 Planning

September 11, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Market share is the most cited, least understood metric for most HVAC distributors.  With economic uncertainty hanging over 2026, sharper distribution planning is essential.  Here is how to ground your growth targets in reality and avoid the blind spots competitors may be leaving wide open.  Why Market Share Matters in 2026  This article kicks off a series we will be … [Read more...] about Market Share Math: How Distributors Can Sharpen 2026 Planning

New Product Introductions – Why they Fail

September 4, 2025 by David Gordon Leave a Comment

Manufacturer New Product Introductions Challenge

Recently we did a project for a manufacturer to help them prepare for a sales meeting. They wanted to understand what their staff was thinking but they wanted a 3rd party to gather the insights to ensure their team that there would be anonymity. They questions related to how the “go to market team” (Sales, Marketing, Product Development / Engineering, Customer Service) … [Read more...] about New Product Introductions – Why they Fail

Engineering Better Sales: HVAC’s Moneyball Moment

August 20, 2025 by Chuck Labow Leave a Comment

Engineering better HVAC Sales

Most HVACR companies spend a lot of time on products, pricing, and promos. But sales execution? That often gets overlooked. If you’re still managing sales by gut feel and muscle memory, you’re leaving margin on the table. It’s time to take a Moneyball approach.  In Moneyball, the Oakland A’s figure out how to win by asking better questions and using better data. They stopped … [Read more...] about Engineering Better Sales: HVAC’s Moneyball Moment

Creating more time for your inside teams to service customers

August 13, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

order management

This week we’ve been on calls with key distributors and working on our latest benchmark research about how automated order management is creating “barriers to exit” for customers. We are preparing this full report for a webinar and white paper in partnership with our friends at Conexiom.  I’m excited to be co-presenting this webinar and crafting the white paper research … [Read more...] about Creating more time for your inside teams to service customers

Pentagon Pricing Series – A Pricing Reset is the Most High-Risk and High-Reward Activity in B2B Distribution

August 6, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

CMG Trends Pentagon pricing series HVACR Trends

As a former pricing leader for three billion-dollar distributors in North America, I can share from experience that a major pricing reset is simultaneously a dangerous activity, yet when done right, the best driver of top-line sales growth in this industry. Earlier this year, I wrote a Case Study for Modern Distribution Management (MDM) on the pricing reset MSC … [Read more...] about Pentagon Pricing Series – A Pricing Reset is the Most High-Risk and High-Reward Activity in B2B Distribution

Digital Order Profitability Metrics in HVACR

July 15, 2025 by David Gordon Leave a Comment

Digital commerce, whether through your website, via eProcurement, direct connections (EDI or tools such as Remarcable, Kojo, and others), via apps, email to ERP, or other vehicles is increasing. Our recent State of eCommerce research, which gathered input from 350 Contractor buyers, highlighted that 62% are buying some material electronically and, based upon their feedback, … [Read more...] about Digital Order Profitability Metrics in HVACR

How to Drive HVACR Orders: Strategies to Activate Untapped Revenue from Silent Contacts

June 20, 2025 by John Gunderson Leave a Comment

One of the fun parts of writing about the HVACR channel and working with distribution leaders at Channel Marketing Group (CMG) is the opportunity to present the research we do in the channel to our readers. David Gordon and I are presenting research we did in partnership with Prokeep that dives deep into revenue growth strategies and proactive selling to customer … [Read more...] about How to Drive HVACR Orders: Strategies to Activate Untapped Revenue from Silent Contacts

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HVAC technician working on commercial rooftop unit representing the growing technician shortage

The HVAC Technician Shortage: What 2031 Could Look

Supreme Court IEEPA tariff ruling impact on HVAC equipment pricing and the distribution channel

HVAC Tariff Costs: What the Supreme Court Ruling Really Changes

Watsco Q4 2025 earnings showing record gross margins and technology platform investments alongside volume declines in HVAC distribution

Watsco Q4 Earnings Miss Masks a Bigger Story

nVent Q4 2025 earnings results showing portfolio transformation toward data center and infrastructure growth

nVent Earnings Reveal a Company the Channel Barely Recognizes | HVACR Trends

Prokeep Order Automation platform turning customer messages into ERP-ready quotes for distributors

Prokeep Launches Distributor Order Automation With AI-Powered Quoting

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